{"id":701,"date":"2010-05-16T22:55:36","date_gmt":"2010-05-17T03:55:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/?p=701"},"modified":"2010-07-21T22:06:18","modified_gmt":"2010-07-22T03:06:18","slug":"the-real-income-inequality-gap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/2010\/05\/16\/the-real-income-inequality-gap\/","title":{"rendered":"The Real &#8220;Income Inequality&#8221; Gap"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Talk with a typical liberal-leaning voter and soon enough you&#8217;ll find that reducing income-inequality ranks as one of their most vaunted public policy goals:\u00a0 just about any legislation can be justified as righteous if it claims to hit that mark.<\/p>\n<p>In discussing income inequality, the liberal commentariat will invariably point to some kind of statistic showing that the gap between the people at either end of the earnings bell curve &#8220;has never been wider&#8221;.\u00a0\u00a0 Or put differently, &#8220;the rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer&#8221;.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 What these people miss, as economists like <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tsowell.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Thomas Sowell<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cato.org\/pub_display.php?pub_id=6863\" target=\"_blank\">Alan Reynolds<\/a> have repeatedly demonstrated, is that the people at any given percentile of the curve <em>change over time<\/em>.\u00a0\u00a0 As Sowell says when talking about supposedly stagnant household incomes:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The problem is you&#8217;re talking about households, rather than flesh and blood human beings.\u00a0\u00a0 One of the real fallacies that runs through a lot of talk about income is confusing statistical categories with actual flesh and blood people.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\">&#8220;<a title=\"&quot;Income Inequality Sowell vs. Krugman&quot;, Maladjusted for Inflation, Paul Dorasil\" href=\"http:\/\/www.maladjustedforinflation.com\/2009\/05\/income-inequality-sowell-vs-krugman.html\" target=\"_blank\">Income Inequality Sowell vs. Krugman<\/a>&#8220;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Essentially then, static comments made about a dynamic curve are meaningless.\u00a0\u00a0 By contrast, longitudinal studies following particular people over the course of their earning careers tend to show upward trends.<\/p>\n<p>It turns out that one group of people, tracked longitudinally, have been on a particularly nice up-slope: public sector employees.\u00a0\u00a0 <!--more-->And within that group, <em>unionized public employees<\/em> enjoy the greatest income differences when compared to their private sector counterparts, with a big chunk of that difference coming from sweetheart benefits packages.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_748\" style=\"width: 444px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cato.org\/pubs\/journal\/cj30n1\/cj30n1-5.pdf\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-748\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-748 \" title=\"AvgCompensationPublicVsPrivate2008\" src=\"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/AvgCompensationPublicVsPrivate2008.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"434\" height=\"354\" srcset=\"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/AvgCompensationPublicVsPrivate2008.jpg 542w, http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/AvgCompensationPublicVsPrivate2008-300x244.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 434px) 100vw, 434px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-748\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Real &quot;Income Inequality&quot; Gap<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Numerous reports and articles are finally presenting the blizzard of statistics that all point to the same conclusion:\u00a0 public sector jobs, relative to their private counterparts, have become a great gig <em>that are also bankrupting their financiers.<\/em> The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cato.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">Cato Institute<\/a> published Chris Edwards&#8217; &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cato.org\/pubs\/journal\/cj30n1\/cj30n1-5.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Public Sector Unions and the Rising Costs of Employee Compensation<\/a>&#8221; in their Winter 2010 Cato Journal. \u00a0\u00a0 Steven Malanga, Senior editor of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.manhattan-institute.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">Manhattan Institute&#8217;s<\/a> City Journal, <a title=\"&quot;How public unions broke California&quot;, Steven Malanga, April 19, 2010\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/articles\/-244728--.html\" target=\"_blank\">chronicled the issue with specific regard to California<\/a>.\u00a0 It is a sorry tale. Even sorrier is that it has become epidemic  amongst  towns, cities and states across the country. Reason magazine&#8217;s excellent February 2010 cover story on the topic was entitled &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/reason.com\/archives\/2010\/01\/12\/class-war\/1\" target=\"_blank\">Class War<\/a>&#8220;.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 And in a recent <a title=\"&quot;The Government Pay Boom&quot;, Wall Street Journal, 3\/26\/2010\" href=\"http:\/\/online.wsj.com\/article\/SB10001424052748704281204575003101210295246.html\" target=\"_blank\">Wall Street Journal editorial<\/a>, there is this eye-popping statistic:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>What if government workers earned the average of what private workers  earn? States and localities would save $339 billion a year from their  more than $2.1 trillion budgets. These savings are larger than the  combined estimated deficits for 2010 and 2011 of every state in America.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Zeroing in on New York&#8217;s infamously dysfunctional state government, one quickly encounters the union-front &#8220;Working Families Party&#8221;.\u00a0 I&#8217;ve always wondered if a dual-income couple with a few kids in the public schools, working a combined 100+ hours a week but being in the top tax bracket, qualified as a &#8220;working family&#8221;.\u00a0\u00a0 The WFP was almost single-handedly responsible for getting the legislature to pass 2009&#8217;s tax hike for top earners, matching neighboring New Jersey&#8217;s top bracket of 8.97%: a true race-to-the-top-which-is-actually-the-bottom.\u00a0\u00a0 The tax hikes were ostensibly to avoid cuts to &#8220;necessary&#8221; state programs and services, often staffed, of course, by union workers.<\/p>\n<p>New York&#8217;s Triborough Amendment, (a form of &#8220;evergreen clause&#8221;), allows unions to keep their existing contract terms if negotiations fail to reach a new contract.\u00a0 In other words, a local school board, for example, has absolutely no ability to compel their teachers union to accept reduced raises or benefits in a new contract; the teachers can &#8220;fail to reach a new contract&#8221; and enjoy the more generous terms of the existing contract instead.<\/p>\n<p>Then there&#8217;s the issue of pension liabilities. \u00a0 In the private sector, if you have a 401K or IRA and you take a hit in the stock market or elsewhere, you&#8217;re stuck.\u00a0\u00a0 But in states like New York, with <em>guaranteed pensions that can&#8217;t be reduced once payments begin<\/em>, those losses need to be made up by the taxpayers.\u00a0\u00a0 A local school board can suddenly have a multi-million dollar swing in their annual contribution requirement to the state, potentially wiping out attempts to hold the line on other spending over which they have more discretion.\u00a0\u00a0 Reason magazine <a href=\"http:\/\/reason.com\/archives\/2010\/01\/12\/class-war\/1\" target=\"_blank\">reports<\/a> that <em>&#8220;[i]n New York state,  local governments may have to triple their annual pension contributions during the next six years, from $2.6 billion to $8 billion, according to the state comptroller.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>So in summary, we have unions using their members&#8217; dues to <a href=\"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/2009\/09\/03\/lobbying-pays\/\" target=\"_blank\">lobby<\/a> for maintaining the status quo, and being successful at that. All of this now takes place in the face of the weakest economic environment in at least a generation. \u00a0\u00a0 It would seem that this issue should result in disgust from the overwhelming majority of people,<em> i.e., the group that does not belong to a union.<\/em> Rather than the government serving the people, the people are serving the government, and (switching metaphors, I know) the government diners are super-sizing their orders when instead they should be counting calories.\u00a0 Like some genetically doomed organism, this parasite is killing its host.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 One wonders how this situation persists.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;d suggest that non-reporting of simple math has a lot to do with it.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_758\" style=\"width: 377px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/CompoundingSalaries.jpg\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-758\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-758\" title=\"CompoundingSalaries\" src=\"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/CompoundingSalaries.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"367\" height=\"344\" srcset=\"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/CompoundingSalaries.jpg 367w, http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/CompoundingSalaries-300x281.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 367px) 100vw, 367px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-758\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">What a difference a few percentage points make<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Albert Einstein is reputed to have said that &#8220;the most powerful force in the universe is compound interest&#8221;.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Likewise, the compounding growth of state and local deficits, caused in large part by Kevlar-encased union compensation contracts, is beginning to present itself like the smoking van recently found in Times Square.<\/p>\n<p>At any given vote, a union pay raise of say, 4%, might not sound so bad.\u00a0\u00a0 But compared with a raise of 2%, over time, as the chart to the right shows, the magic of compounding is going to make all the difference.\u00a0 And for illustration purposes only, by looking at 6%, it is clear that &#8220;reaching for yield&#8221; pays off handsomely (swap in the words &#8220;Retirement Account Balance&#8221; for &#8220;Annual Salary&#8221; and this one chart should motivate any new college grad to start saving early).<\/p>\n<p>This week in New York, local voters will be entering their voting booths to decide the fate of their school budgets and other initiatives.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Let&#8217;s hope that they begin to diffuse a bomb whose fuse is already lit.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><a title=\"Free Subscription\" href=\"..\/free-subscription\/\" target=\"_self\">Sign up for a Free Subscription<\/a> <\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Talk with a typical liberal-leaning voter and soon enough you&#8217;ll find that reducing income-inequality ranks as one of their most vaunted public policy goals:\u00a0 just about any legislation can be justified as righteous if it claims to hit that mark. In discussing income inequality, the liberal commentariat will invariably point to some kind of statistic [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,6],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/701"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=701"}],"version-history":[{"count":20,"href":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/701\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":763,"href":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/701\/revisions\/763"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=701"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=701"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/civilsocietytrust.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=701"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}